Game Theory: Did Dream FAKE His Speedrun? A Final Analysis.

  • Publisert 2 dager siden

    The Game TheoristsThe Game Theorists

    Runtime: 23:30

    Special thanks to Skillshare for sponsoring this episode!
    The first 1000 Theorists get a FREE trial of Skillshare Premium ► skl.sh/thegametheorists01211
    There has been a controversy brewing on the Minecraft side of NOsection centered around well known Minecraft creator Dream. He's been accused of faking his speedrun and it has caused a lot of stir. I'm not here to point fingers or accuse anyone. What I'm doing today, Theorists, is going over the facts of this situation and why it is a lot more complicated than people are making it out to be.
    SUBSCRIBE to Catch all the Theories! ► goo.gl/kQWHkJ
    Find the game here ► www.minecraft.net/en-us
    Need Royalty Free Music for your Content? Try Epidemic Sound.
    Get A 30 Day Free Trial! ► share.epidemicsound.com/MatPat
    #Dream #DreamSpeedrun #Speedrun #DreamSMP #Minecraft #MinecraftTheory #MinecraftLore #MinecraftUpdate #MatPat #Theory #GameTheory
    More THEORIES:
    FNAF, The FINAL Timeline ►► bit.ly/2MlHYFe
    FNAF, The Monster We MISSED! ►► nosection.info/title/j6uff2yufHiYfKA/video
    FNAF This Theory Changes Everything ► bit.ly/2JUQUn6
    FNAF, You Were Meant To Lose ► nosection.info/title/Z5SmaZyzaaBnlGk/video
    FNAF 6, No More Secrets ► bit.ly/2LVCq4u
    Credits:
    Writers: Matthew Patrick and Justin Kuiper
    Editors: Dan "Cybert" Seibert, Alex "Sedge" Sedgwick, Forrest Lee, Tyler Mascola, and Koen Verhagen
    Assistant Editor: AlyssaBeCrazy
    Sound Editor: Yosi Berman

Bdogzippy
Bdogzippy

lol it was put on the YouTube trending tab

2 timer siden
big spirit nae
big spirit nae

Matpat woke up and chose deceit and trickery

2 timer siden
Ashan Trisheild
Ashan Trisheild

Forever greatful for your knowledge oh Almighty one 🙌

2 timer siden
Joshua Hatfield
Joshua Hatfield

OHHHHHHHH!!!! GET DUNKED ON TRENDING TAB!!!!!

2 timer siden
ITZ Bryan
ITZ Bryan

Cringe

2 timer siden
Johan Meyer
Johan Meyer

1 in 300,000,000 chance I like those odds

2 timer siden
NUT SPONGE
NUT SPONGE

Number 2 on trending

2 timer siden
Wiell Nyan
Wiell Nyan

9:55 he knows.

2 timer siden
Dream
Dream

...

2 timer siden
Nikama Mini Kitchen
Nikama Mini Kitchen

https://youtu.be/_0X138yfnPI

2 timer siden
MJ907
MJ907

Short Answer: He doesn't answer the question.

2 timer siden
Yoda Lover06
Yoda Lover06

9:54 whos here when its 1st on trending?

2 timer siden
Link From Zelda
Link From Zelda

9:55 That aged well.

2 timer siden
Mateo Guerrero
Mateo Guerrero

11:39 jake peralta?

2 timer siden
Emanuel Xiquin
Emanuel Xiquin

What if Matt was the secret scientist dream hired

2 timer siden
Gamerzero2000
Gamerzero2000

Why does nobody talk about mrbeast buying everything in the background 👀 0:11

2 timer siden
Priam Zhunepluas
Priam Zhunepluas

60+

2 timer siden
Prottoy Roy
Prottoy Roy

https://youtu.be/iEfoO_HJlGg

2 timer siden
Dieter Umholtz
Dieter Umholtz

In the video he joked about the people on the trending list.... and look where he is now!😂

2 timer siden
topgaminplays
topgaminplays

Lemme just say that 50/50 percent of the coin rate is wrong

2 timer siden
cadencore
cadencore

"Watch, this video's going to get on the trending tab.." *#1 On Trending*

2 timer siden
Fish Sticker
Fish Sticker

Don’t even watch this video, there is no answer, just watch Karl jobst’s analysis, it is infinitely better

2 timer siden
Dynamic
Dynamic

What about this https://youtu.be/XuU7prBDY94

2 timer siden
what happened
what happened

Us: so did he cheat? Matpat: here are some facts Us: so..? Matpat: idk but imma keep talking :D

2 timer siden
Orville Java
Orville Java

vid: dream cheated matpat: flip a coin 1000 times so we can see the problem here

2 timer siden
enjoying 365 day's
enjoying 365 day's

🇮🇳Watching on the India🇮🇳

2 timer siden
艾丽马
艾丽马

i’m here because of the trending tab haha

2 timer siden
RSG
RSG

He didn't give an answer because Dream is his friend. It's not that hard to figure out that Dream was blatantly cheating.

2 timer siden
Pantheon
Pantheon

9:55 LOL its #2 on trending

2 timer siden
Bruce Wayne
Bruce Wayne

Racketeering not trending

2 timer siden
im just guy
im just guy

Us:did dream cheat Matpat:find out next time on dragon ball z

2 timer siden
Lord Broccoli
Lord Broccoli

The man collabed with him for a video fairly recently; did we really expect him to say anything super incriminating in this one?

2 timer siden
solax
solax

i teabagged a drowned that hasn't despawned in a very long time went to the nether and got pearls on my 3rd gold ingot

2 timer siden
MellamoSteve
MellamoSteve

8:08 Yes, gacha players would kill for SSRs rate up that high

2 timer siden
Jade Salveson
Jade Salveson

Hi I'm a fan

2 timer siden
Mike Afton
Mike Afton

You put /spawn ender_perl 8 but ther were 9 (p.s. I can't spell )

2 timer siden
Daniel gai
Daniel gai

7 and 10

2 timer siden
Robert andrei Bagasbas
Robert andrei Bagasbas

My sanity is losing because of "these"

2 timer siden
BustaBacker
BustaBacker

MatPat, there is a new SUPERHOT game.. it’s not over..

2 timer siden
Fluted Scissors
Fluted Scissors

He did

2 timer siden
Liam Hutfles
Liam Hutfles

Call this mediocre because it's #2 on trending

2 timer siden
Emi Harith
Emi Harith

gosh, i didn't think there would be anything more controversial and toxic than kpop stans. this comment section changed my mind

2 timer siden
Eradud
Eradud

Look at all these people commenting completely missing the point

2 timer siden
ROIDERZ ABDOMINESS
ROIDERZ ABDOMINESS

I did I faked it

2 timer siden
Shrestha Pandey
Shrestha Pandey

Um who are u

2 timer siden
black death velociraptor
black death velociraptor

You should do a theory about fetch or something I dont know

2 timer siden
Maybe Its not Alex
Maybe Its not Alex

Came back to see if it would end up in trending, TF

2 timer siden
Deep Patel
Deep Patel

Can we get dream in the comment section

2 timer siden
Grim Flarez
Grim Flarez

*sigh*...

2 timer siden
hmmm
hmmm

What if they speedrun in just one seed?

2 timer siden
Hi
Hi

That already exist and requires a lot more rng

2 timer siden
Yurem Santillan
Yurem Santillan

Can you please make a video about brawl stars

2 timer siden
DangerDarkrai22
DangerDarkrai22

Hey matpat Ive been diving back into your old vids for nostalgia and I realised in your theory with The Jwittz about Pokémon are humans I noticed a wee tune you played at the skit you did and noticed it was from Rayman I loved these games when I was a kid would there be a theory you could do for Rayman (maybe something like why does Rayman have a floating abdomen and arms and legs?)

2 timer siden
That one Microwave
That one Microwave

Nobody mr beast buying everything in the store in the back ground

2 timer siden
Kaylee Dill
Kaylee Dill

“Watch this episode is gonna wind up on the YouTube trending tab” Me: cHeAtEr!!

2 timer siden
Levi McNabb
Levi McNabb

Number 2 on tending

2 timer siden
Monique Pozzi
Monique Pozzi

I need boyfriend 🙊👊🏽

2 timer siden
archofthedark
archofthedark

Yeah, this video wasn't worth it. You should have taken the L.

2 timer siden
Joey Dii
Joey Dii

its number one on the Youtube trending tab...

2 timer siden
Train_Time
Train_Time

Mat: We should have minecraft speedruns where multiple players compete in the same world Manhunt: “Am I a joke to you?”

2 timer siden
ItzMalo
ItzMalo

"Those who cannot acknowledge themselves, will eventually fail." - Itachi Uchiha 😞

2 timer siden
Coby McIntosh
Coby McIntosh

I think you are just jealous of dreams skills

2 timer siden
zerg113
zerg113

Dream atmitted cheating also, who cares.

2 timer siden
Hi
Hi

@what happened so I am assuming that your saying the bit where the astrophysicist say that the only reasonable thing is to assume that he cheated, that not dream saying he cheated that’s the astrophysicist saying he cheated.

2 timer siden
what happened
what happened

@Hi at the very end of the astrophysicist's report

2 timer siden
Hi
Hi

Where

2 timer siden
Cristian Martinez
Cristian Martinez

I like the Idea of a tournament. Maybe Dream can even start a series like that. Maybe against all of his friends to see who is the fastest.

2 timer siden
Prince Darwin
Prince Darwin

Thank you comments for letting me know this was a waste of time before i watched. Now i dont have to watch it. Ballance is restored

2 timer siden
Magma Hot Designs
Magma Hot Designs

Wow! This channel has been going downhill real fast for a while BUT THIS is the tipping point for me. MatPat has finally hit the point of no return of shitty, clickbaity nonsense which he knows nothing about.

2 timer siden
Joshua Zhao
Joshua Zhao

Bro I legit was confused when I watched the video and there was no answer like I thought I missed something.

2 timer siden
Daniel Valentin
Daniel Valentin

I’m not a math expert, but dream had no reason to cheat, he’s done tons of runs and there was GOING to be a sus run at some point, for anyone doing the run. So I believe dream

2 timer siden
Hi
Hi

It was 6 runs not one

2 timer siden
Anupam Chaudhari
Anupam Chaudhari

So did he cheated or not.

2 timer siden
Slim Badger
Slim Badger

MFW I found this on my trending tab...

2 timer siden
MrDNR
MrDNR

I thought this drama was ended already

2 timer siden
Don Gordo
Don Gordo

https://youtu.be/n-LH-CpOWzg

2 timer siden
Zachry Diehl
Zachry Diehl

Isn't this the guy that plagiarized a legal eagle episode? Same thing here? Just wait until everyone else has made their video, then just do that? Edit: Skip to 4:45 if you dont want to listen to 4 minutes and 45 seconds of this guy talking about himself.

2 timer siden
SterWasWeird
SterWasWeird

Everyone: WhAt’S ThE AnSWeR?!?11 *Me knowing this was the answer:* B)

2 timer siden
deathk1ller100
deathk1ller100

God you’re a pathetic YouTube channel I missed the old game theory channel not this hungry deprived clickbait for viral stuff if a garbage can went viral you’d made a video on it and it’s just sad

2 timer siden
Veron Alejandre Parayno
Veron Alejandre Parayno

11:38 and Why is Jake Peralta There?

2 timer siden
Kirbo Playz
Kirbo Playz

I can already hear the dream stans screaming

2 timer siden
The Doge Regular
The Doge Regular

did dream cheat? matpat: he's pretty popular so lemme just suggest speedrun races which are already popular and completely ignore the title of the video

2 timer siden
Ghostlyboy Playz
Ghostlyboy Playz

The thing that seems suspicious to me is that out of all people who could have ended up in this situation, Dream, a professional, Minecraft speed runner did.

2 timer siden
Kittycat Kimmy
Kittycat Kimmy

Hahah he is #2trending he predicted that XD

2 timer siden
Johnny Poprac
Johnny Poprac

You didn't even give an answer over fear of angering fanbases. What is the point of this video other than to get clicks by name-dropping Dream? Either he cheated or he didn't, but dancing around the subject and then questioning Minecraft speedrunning in general isn't getting anyone anywhere. Be better

2 timer siden
Johnny Poprac
Johnny Poprac

@Noah The channel name, Game Theory, implies that each video would give an actually theory around what is going on. In the video he gives the statistics, but at the end he avoids a final theory on whether or not Dream cheated. He just says that no one really knows. He never truly analyzes what either side is saying and he never really answers the question in the title. There was no final theory or verdict, therefore, he "danced" around the answer. A theory doesn't have to be right, but it should have a complete conclusion one way or another. Saying "who knows really" isn't an answer, it's a cop out.

2 timer siden
Noah
Noah

He didn't dance around the answer. The only person who knows the absolute answer is Dream, and he isn't Dream. You are the one who needs to be better, not The Game Theorists.

2 timer siden
Uncle
Uncle

I think a great way to prove that your speed running on live stream without a custom seed is to have the first super chat pick 3 numbers for the seed

2 timer siden
Hi
Hi

Then it would be considered a set seed

2 timer siden
Sisi • 27 years ago
Sisi • 27 years ago

“watch this video is gonna end up on the youtube trending tab” *#1 ON TRENDING*

2 timer siden
J is Empty
J is Empty

It took you 5 minutes to get to the point and by the end of the video you didn’t even give a point

2 timer siden
Kellan Ogle
Kellan Ogle

Flipping the coin 100 times. You get more opportunities to get heads.

2 timer siden
Charlie Walker
Charlie Walker

Yep you did get on the trending tab

2 timer siden
Connor Dauzat
Connor Dauzat

i love matpat. BUT that's not the Jedi way so I must become sith.

2 timer siden
Lord Of Puns
Lord Of Puns

There were several issues to this video, first I will address MatPats final response, second I will address whether he cheated (he probably did). For his MatPats response to rng, it doesn’t matter, if he cheated to have better luck, he cheated. He made money off streams using a potentially hacked game, these streams made money and could have taken money away from people streaming legitimately, giving him an unfair advantage. This debate shouldn’t be philosophical, if you have a problem, discuss it, don’t use it as an excuse to cheat. For if he cheated, I would say he did. Generally, as someone learning college statistics, I think he overcomplicated it. Essentially, there were 2 variables that had unusually high luck, blaze rods and elder pearl trades. The data is collected from several runs. If you have a graphing calculator, you can do the math simply. Essentially, when doing the math with 2 binomial cdf functions combined, Dream got luck so high that there was only a 1 in 70 sextillion chance of getting luck that good or better over all of his runs. In statistics, anything higher than 2 standard deviations or having a 5% chance or less is highly unusual and if this occurs, you reject the null hypothesis. In this case, the null hypothesis is that Dream is not cheating. Overall, due to the probabilities, I would say dream is cheating One important thing to know about his cheating was that he didn’t cheat his gameplay, he cheated the probabilities. This means he didn’t cheat to get good runs, he cheated to get good runs faster. I understand why MatPat wasn’t so straight with his conclusion, Dream is probably and friend/acquaintance and he felt he couldn’t snub him, overall, the evidence in my opinion is strong enough to say Dream cheated. Also, one confusion that seems to be happening is the 1 in 100 million number, that is the probability anyone gets luck as good as him, just a generous number that at best says that this aphid a .000001% chance of happening to anyone, still enough to say someone is probably cheating.

2 timer siden
Noah
Noah

"I think he overcomplicated it" No... just no. Adding in points that are valid to the statistics is not overcomplicating it. Leaving out those points under-complicates it. "In statistics, anything higher than 2 standard deviations or having a 5% chance or less is highly unusual and if this occurs, you reject the null hypothesis." I'm sorry, but that's an extremely naive viewpoint.

2 timer siden
BeanZ :P
BeanZ :P

I caught that Arbiter you snuck in there. 17:45

2 timer siden
Audemar.
Audemar.

Milking views ic

2 timer siden
Cool boi 69
Cool boi 69

lol he got #1 on trending.

2 timer siden
jacktrebel87
jacktrebel87

Literally found this video on the trending tab! LOL

2 timer siden
Silent as a mouse, I am inside your house.
Silent as a mouse, I am inside your house.

HOLY! This got number one on trending!

2 timer siden
Marco Polo
Marco Polo

That was the most pretentious intro I’ve ever seen

2 timer siden
atoth62
atoth62

Is Mario mental? He brings up Mario going after Donkey Kong, but, according to a different video of MatPat's, that was Jumpman, a completely different character from Mario. https://youtu.be/alcxiiN6xkU?t=705

2 timer siden
Mr. DeSomber
Mr. DeSomber

Just read that you don't really answer the question so I'm not gonna bother with this video.

2 timer siden
bah1605
bah1605

If it isnt about fnaf Mat Pat. It’s not a good video

2 timer siden
Pk Kevin67
Pk Kevin67

In a year where my teachers barely teach, but assign enough work to take up a weekend, I can confidently say GT videos have helped me get my curiosity back

2 timer siden
emerald_comic
emerald_comic

i like game thoery but wow this was a fantastic waste of my time.

2 timer siden
TristanDFU
TristanDFU

You called it being on trending

2 timer siden
fabian ojeda
fabian ojeda

Yes or No

2 timer siden
Hi
Hi

There is no way to tell unless dreams says that he cheated

2 timer siden
Chukwu
Chukwu

This was filmed in 2019 nobody is wearing a mask..

2 timer siden
Veron Alejandre Parayno
Veron Alejandre Parayno

POV:You looked up the start of game theory After The video

2 timer siden

Neste

Game Theory: The Dark Future of the Dream SMP (Minecraft)

16:45

The Galaxy S21 Ultra is Better than you think.

15:07

EPIC HACKSMITH COMPILATION #5

19:37

EPIC HACKSMITH COMPILATION #5

Hacksmith Industries

Ganger 812 k

Olivia Rodrigo - drivers license (Official Video)

4:07

SANT ELLER FALSKT MED JANNI

24:54

SANT ELLER FALSKT MED JANNI

Tanbyklara

Ganger 71 k

How To Beat Every DEATH GAME In "As The Gods Will"

19:12

Food Theory: Cheetos Are Cow Food!

13:00

Food Theory: Cheetos Are Cow Food!

The Food Theorists

Ganger 2,9 mill

Game Theory: The Minecraft Warden... SOLVED! w/ Dream

11:34

Food Theory: Is Subway Bread ACTUALLY Cake?

14:31

Food Theory: Is Subway Bread ACTUALLY Cake?

The Food Theorists

Ganger 3 mill

Markiplier & Lixian MEGA COMPILATION

25:21

Markiplier & Lixian MEGA COMPILATION

Markiplier

Ganger 2,6 mill

The Galaxy S21 Ultra is Better than you think.

15:07

EPIC HACKSMITH COMPILATION #5

19:37

EPIC HACKSMITH COMPILATION #5

Hacksmith Industries

Ganger 812 k

Olivia Rodrigo - drivers license (Official Video)

4:07

SANT ELLER FALSKT MED JANNI

24:54

SANT ELLER FALSKT MED JANNI

Tanbyklara

Ganger 71 k

Hermitcraft 7: Episode 68 - WHAT IS THIS!?

20:44

My Minecraft Server is INSANE

56:42

Bytter Kropp Med Dennis I Among Us

11:04

Bytter Kropp Med Dennis I Among Us

Ruben Vareide

Ganger 35 k