Runtime: 23:30
Special thanks to Skillshare for sponsoring this episode!
The first 1000 Theorists get a FREE trial of Skillshare Premium ► skl.sh/thegametheorists01211
There has been a controversy brewing on the Minecraft side of NOsection centered around well known Minecraft creator Dream. He's been accused of faking his speedrun and it has caused a lot of stir. I'm not here to point fingers or accuse anyone. What I'm doing today, Theorists, is going over the facts of this situation and why it is a lot more complicated than people are making it out to be.
SUBSCRIBE to Catch all the Theories! ► goo.gl/kQWHkJ
Find the game here ► www.minecraft.net/en-us
Need Royalty Free Music for your Content? Try Epidemic Sound.
Get A 30 Day Free Trial! ► share.epidemicsound.com/MatPat
#Dream #DreamSpeedrun #Speedrun #DreamSMP #Minecraft #MinecraftTheory #MinecraftLore #MinecraftUpdate #MatPat #Theory #GameTheory
More THEORIES:
FNAF, The FINAL Timeline ►► bit.ly/2MlHYFe
FNAF, The Monster We MISSED! ►► nosection.info/title/j6uff2yufHiYfKA/video
FNAF This Theory Changes Everything ► bit.ly/2JUQUn6
FNAF, You Were Meant To Lose ► nosection.info/title/Z5SmaZyzaaBnlGk/video
FNAF 6, No More Secrets ► bit.ly/2LVCq4u
Credits:
Writers: Matthew Patrick and Justin Kuiper
Editors: Dan "Cybert" Seibert, Alex "Sedge" Sedgwick, Forrest Lee, Tyler Mascola, and Koen Verhagen
Assistant Editor: AlyssaBeCrazy
Sound Editor: Yosi Berman
Kommentarer
Bdogzippy
lol it was put on the YouTube trending tab
2 timer sidenbig spirit nae
Matpat woke up and chose deceit and trickery
2 timer sidenAshan Trisheild
Forever greatful for your knowledge oh Almighty one 🙌
2 timer sidenJoshua Hatfield
OHHHHHHHH!!!! GET DUNKED ON TRENDING TAB!!!!!
2 timer sidenITZ Bryan
Cringe
2 timer sidenJohan Meyer
1 in 300,000,000 chance I like those odds
2 timer sidenNUT SPONGE
Number 2 on trending
2 timer sidenWiell Nyan
9:55 he knows.
2 timer sidenDream
...
2 timer sidenNikama Mini Kitchen
https://youtu.be/_0X138yfnPI
2 timer sidenMJ907
Short Answer: He doesn't answer the question.
2 timer sidenYoda Lover06
9:54 whos here when its 1st on trending?
2 timer sidenLink From Zelda
9:55 That aged well.
2 timer sidenMateo Guerrero
11:39 jake peralta?
2 timer sidenEmanuel Xiquin
What if Matt was the secret scientist dream hired
2 timer sidenGamerzero2000
Why does nobody talk about mrbeast buying everything in the background 👀 0:11
2 timer sidenPriam Zhunepluas
60+
2 timer sidenProttoy Roy
https://youtu.be/iEfoO_HJlGg
2 timer sidenDieter Umholtz
In the video he joked about the people on the trending list.... and look where he is now!😂
2 timer sidentopgaminplays
Lemme just say that 50/50 percent of the coin rate is wrong
2 timer sidencadencore
"Watch, this video's going to get on the trending tab.." *#1 On Trending*
2 timer sidenFish Sticker
Don’t even watch this video, there is no answer, just watch Karl jobst’s analysis, it is infinitely better
2 timer sidenDynamic
What about this https://youtu.be/XuU7prBDY94
2 timer sidenwhat happened
Us: so did he cheat? Matpat: here are some facts Us: so..? Matpat: idk but imma keep talking :D
2 timer sidenOrville Java
vid: dream cheated matpat: flip a coin 1000 times so we can see the problem here
2 timer sidenenjoying 365 day's
🇮🇳Watching on the India🇮🇳
2 timer siden艾丽马
i’m here because of the trending tab haha
2 timer sidenRSG
He didn't give an answer because Dream is his friend. It's not that hard to figure out that Dream was blatantly cheating.
2 timer sidenPantheon
9:55 LOL its #2 on trending
2 timer sidenBruce Wayne
Racketeering not trending
2 timer sidenim just guy
Us:did dream cheat Matpat:find out next time on dragon ball z
2 timer sidenLord Broccoli
The man collabed with him for a video fairly recently; did we really expect him to say anything super incriminating in this one?
2 timer sidensolax
i teabagged a drowned that hasn't despawned in a very long time went to the nether and got pearls on my 3rd gold ingot
2 timer sidenMellamoSteve
8:08 Yes, gacha players would kill for SSRs rate up that high
2 timer sidenJade Salveson
Hi I'm a fan
2 timer sidenMike Afton
You put /spawn ender_perl 8 but ther were 9 (p.s. I can't spell )
2 timer sidenDaniel gai
7 and 10
2 timer sidenRobert andrei Bagasbas
My sanity is losing because of "these"
2 timer sidenBustaBacker
MatPat, there is a new SUPERHOT game.. it’s not over..
2 timer sidenFluted Scissors
He did
2 timer sidenLiam Hutfles
Call this mediocre because it's #2 on trending
2 timer sidenEmi Harith
gosh, i didn't think there would be anything more controversial and toxic than kpop stans. this comment section changed my mind
2 timer sidenEradud
Look at all these people commenting completely missing the point
2 timer sidenROIDERZ ABDOMINESS
I did I faked it
2 timer sidenShrestha Pandey
Um who are u
2 timer sidenblack death velociraptor
You should do a theory about fetch or something I dont know
2 timer sidenMaybe Its not Alex
Came back to see if it would end up in trending, TF
2 timer sidenDeep Patel
Can we get dream in the comment section
2 timer sidenGrim Flarez
*sigh*...
2 timer sidenhmmm
What if they speedrun in just one seed?
2 timer sidenHi
That already exist and requires a lot more rng
2 timer sidenYurem Santillan
Can you please make a video about brawl stars
2 timer sidenDangerDarkrai22
Hey matpat Ive been diving back into your old vids for nostalgia and I realised in your theory with The Jwittz about Pokémon are humans I noticed a wee tune you played at the skit you did and noticed it was from Rayman I loved these games when I was a kid would there be a theory you could do for Rayman (maybe something like why does Rayman have a floating abdomen and arms and legs?)
2 timer sidenThat one Microwave
Nobody mr beast buying everything in the store in the back ground
2 timer sidenKaylee Dill
“Watch this episode is gonna wind up on the YouTube trending tab” Me: cHeAtEr!!
2 timer sidenLevi McNabb
Number 2 on tending
2 timer sidenMonique Pozzi
I need boyfriend 🙊👊🏽
2 timer sidenarchofthedark
Yeah, this video wasn't worth it. You should have taken the L.
2 timer sidenJoey Dii
its number one on the Youtube trending tab...
2 timer sidenTrain_Time
Mat: We should have minecraft speedruns where multiple players compete in the same world Manhunt: “Am I a joke to you?”
2 timer sidenItzMalo
"Those who cannot acknowledge themselves, will eventually fail." - Itachi Uchiha 😞
2 timer sidenCoby McIntosh
I think you are just jealous of dreams skills
2 timer sidenzerg113
Dream atmitted cheating also, who cares.
2 timer sidenHi
@what happened so I am assuming that your saying the bit where the astrophysicist say that the only reasonable thing is to assume that he cheated, that not dream saying he cheated that’s the astrophysicist saying he cheated.
2 timer sidenwhat happened
@Hi at the very end of the astrophysicist's report
2 timer sidenHi
Where
2 timer sidenCristian Martinez
I like the Idea of a tournament. Maybe Dream can even start a series like that. Maybe against all of his friends to see who is the fastest.
2 timer sidenPrince Darwin
Thank you comments for letting me know this was a waste of time before i watched. Now i dont have to watch it. Ballance is restored
2 timer sidenMagma Hot Designs
Wow! This channel has been going downhill real fast for a while BUT THIS is the tipping point for me. MatPat has finally hit the point of no return of shitty, clickbaity nonsense which he knows nothing about.
2 timer sidenJoshua Zhao
Bro I legit was confused when I watched the video and there was no answer like I thought I missed something.
2 timer sidenDaniel Valentin
I’m not a math expert, but dream had no reason to cheat, he’s done tons of runs and there was GOING to be a sus run at some point, for anyone doing the run. So I believe dream
2 timer sidenHi
It was 6 runs not one
2 timer sidenAnupam Chaudhari
So did he cheated or not.
2 timer sidenSlim Badger
MFW I found this on my trending tab...
2 timer sidenMrDNR
I thought this drama was ended already
2 timer sidenDon Gordo
https://youtu.be/n-LH-CpOWzg
2 timer sidenZachry Diehl
Isn't this the guy that plagiarized a legal eagle episode? Same thing here? Just wait until everyone else has made their video, then just do that? Edit: Skip to 4:45 if you dont want to listen to 4 minutes and 45 seconds of this guy talking about himself.
2 timer sidenSterWasWeird
Everyone: WhAt’S ThE AnSWeR?!?11 *Me knowing this was the answer:* B)
2 timer sidendeathk1ller100
God you’re a pathetic YouTube channel I missed the old game theory channel not this hungry deprived clickbait for viral stuff if a garbage can went viral you’d made a video on it and it’s just sad
2 timer sidenVeron Alejandre Parayno
11:38 and Why is Jake Peralta There?
2 timer sidenKirbo Playz
I can already hear the dream stans screaming
2 timer sidenThe Doge Regular
did dream cheat? matpat: he's pretty popular so lemme just suggest speedrun races which are already popular and completely ignore the title of the video
2 timer sidenGhostlyboy Playz
The thing that seems suspicious to me is that out of all people who could have ended up in this situation, Dream, a professional, Minecraft speed runner did.
2 timer sidenKittycat Kimmy
Hahah he is #2trending he predicted that XD
2 timer sidenJohnny Poprac
You didn't even give an answer over fear of angering fanbases. What is the point of this video other than to get clicks by name-dropping Dream? Either he cheated or he didn't, but dancing around the subject and then questioning Minecraft speedrunning in general isn't getting anyone anywhere. Be better
2 timer sidenJohnny Poprac
@Noah The channel name, Game Theory, implies that each video would give an actually theory around what is going on. In the video he gives the statistics, but at the end he avoids a final theory on whether or not Dream cheated. He just says that no one really knows. He never truly analyzes what either side is saying and he never really answers the question in the title. There was no final theory or verdict, therefore, he "danced" around the answer. A theory doesn't have to be right, but it should have a complete conclusion one way or another. Saying "who knows really" isn't an answer, it's a cop out.
2 timer sidenNoah
He didn't dance around the answer. The only person who knows the absolute answer is Dream, and he isn't Dream. You are the one who needs to be better, not The Game Theorists.
2 timer sidenUncle
I think a great way to prove that your speed running on live stream without a custom seed is to have the first super chat pick 3 numbers for the seed
2 timer sidenHi
Then it would be considered a set seed
2 timer sidenSisi • 27 years ago
“watch this video is gonna end up on the youtube trending tab” *#1 ON TRENDING*
2 timer sidenJ is Empty
It took you 5 minutes to get to the point and by the end of the video you didn’t even give a point
2 timer sidenKellan Ogle
Flipping the coin 100 times. You get more opportunities to get heads.
2 timer sidenCharlie Walker
Yep you did get on the trending tab
2 timer sidenConnor Dauzat
i love matpat. BUT that's not the Jedi way so I must become sith.
2 timer sidenLord Of Puns
There were several issues to this video, first I will address MatPats final response, second I will address whether he cheated (he probably did). For his MatPats response to rng, it doesn’t matter, if he cheated to have better luck, he cheated. He made money off streams using a potentially hacked game, these streams made money and could have taken money away from people streaming legitimately, giving him an unfair advantage. This debate shouldn’t be philosophical, if you have a problem, discuss it, don’t use it as an excuse to cheat. For if he cheated, I would say he did. Generally, as someone learning college statistics, I think he overcomplicated it. Essentially, there were 2 variables that had unusually high luck, blaze rods and elder pearl trades. The data is collected from several runs. If you have a graphing calculator, you can do the math simply. Essentially, when doing the math with 2 binomial cdf functions combined, Dream got luck so high that there was only a 1 in 70 sextillion chance of getting luck that good or better over all of his runs. In statistics, anything higher than 2 standard deviations or having a 5% chance or less is highly unusual and if this occurs, you reject the null hypothesis. In this case, the null hypothesis is that Dream is not cheating. Overall, due to the probabilities, I would say dream is cheating One important thing to know about his cheating was that he didn’t cheat his gameplay, he cheated the probabilities. This means he didn’t cheat to get good runs, he cheated to get good runs faster. I understand why MatPat wasn’t so straight with his conclusion, Dream is probably and friend/acquaintance and he felt he couldn’t snub him, overall, the evidence in my opinion is strong enough to say Dream cheated. Also, one confusion that seems to be happening is the 1 in 100 million number, that is the probability anyone gets luck as good as him, just a generous number that at best says that this aphid a .000001% chance of happening to anyone, still enough to say someone is probably cheating.
2 timer sidenNoah
"I think he overcomplicated it" No... just no. Adding in points that are valid to the statistics is not overcomplicating it. Leaving out those points under-complicates it. "In statistics, anything higher than 2 standard deviations or having a 5% chance or less is highly unusual and if this occurs, you reject the null hypothesis." I'm sorry, but that's an extremely naive viewpoint.
2 timer sidenBeanZ :P
I caught that Arbiter you snuck in there. 17:45
2 timer sidenAudemar.
Milking views ic
2 timer sidenCool boi 69
lol he got #1 on trending.
2 timer sidenjacktrebel87
Literally found this video on the trending tab! LOL
2 timer sidenSilent as a mouse, I am inside your house.
HOLY! This got number one on trending!
2 timer sidenMarco Polo
That was the most pretentious intro I’ve ever seen
2 timer sidenatoth62
Is Mario mental? He brings up Mario going after Donkey Kong, but, according to a different video of MatPat's, that was Jumpman, a completely different character from Mario. https://youtu.be/alcxiiN6xkU?t=705
2 timer sidenMr. DeSomber
Just read that you don't really answer the question so I'm not gonna bother with this video.
2 timer sidenbah1605
If it isnt about fnaf Mat Pat. It’s not a good video
2 timer sidenPk Kevin67
In a year where my teachers barely teach, but assign enough work to take up a weekend, I can confidently say GT videos have helped me get my curiosity back
2 timer sidenemerald_comic
i like game thoery but wow this was a fantastic waste of my time.
2 timer sidenTristanDFU
You called it being on trending
2 timer sidenfabian ojeda
Yes or No
2 timer sidenHi
There is no way to tell unless dreams says that he cheated
2 timer sidenChukwu
This was filmed in 2019 nobody is wearing a mask..
2 timer sidenVeron Alejandre Parayno
POV:You looked up the start of game theory After The video
2 timer siden